Friday, August 31, 2012

Pick Of The Week: Boise State vs Michigan State 8/31/12

I started out my handicapping season with a loss for the first time in five years last night. I do believe that if Connor Shaw does not get injured, the Gamecocks would have covered. That being said I don't like to make excuses, and I plan to regroup tonight. Boise State is completely depleted on both sides of the ball. The Michigan State offense is also young, but the MSU defense is very solid. Isaiah Lewis is one of the best secondary players in the country, and he will be an absolute nightmare for Boise. The Broncos only hope is that the gimmick plays they are so known for can keep them close. I believe the MSU defense will create turnovers, and the Spartans offense will be productive enough to pull out a win. I look for the Spartans by at least 20 in this game.

My Projection- ( Michigan State-7)

Thursday, August 30, 2012

Pick Of The Week: South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt 8/30/12

NCAA Football is here and kicks off with a big SEC game tonight. Jordan Rodgers and Zac Stacy will attempt to upend Spurrier's Gamecocks in Nashville. I look for this to be a pretty good game, especially through the first half. South Carolina has a defense that loves to fly around, and an offense that actually loves to run the ball. Vanderbilt will need big production from Stacy, and mistake free football from Rodgers. The Vanderbilt defense will also have a tough night attempting to stop Marcus Lattimore. Spurrier has coached season opening Thursday night games 5 times. He is undefeated in those outings. I look for this South Carolina offense to wear down the Commodores, and put it away in the forth quarter.

My Projection- ( South Carolina -6 1/2 )

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Wednesday, August 29, 2012

2012 NFC South Preview

The NFC South is my final NFC preview, and it's a very exciting division in its own right. We all know how much offense is produced in New Orleans, but I look for the Falcons to really explode this season. Matt Ryan is loaded up with Julio Jones and Roddy White. Ryan will also have 94 year old Tony Gonzalez back at TE. The Bucs and Panthers will bring up the rear, but will be much improved. The coaching issue for the Saints is not that big of a deal, because if you think Sean Payton is not scripting plays via text, your insane.

1. New Orleans Saints- The New Orleans fresh off the offseason bounty hunting scandal, missing Head Coach Sean Payton. I really don't see this as a big issue and believe he will still be involved. The Saints return record breaking QB Drew Brees sporting a fresh new contract. The Saints lost Robert Meacham now a Charger, but they do return Marques Colston, Lance Moore, and Darren Sproles. The Saints also display a nice committee in the backfield of Mark Ingram, Pierre Thomas, and Chris Ivory. The defense is good enough to make sure this team pulls at least 12 victories.
2012 Projection- (12-4)
2. Atlanta Falcons- The Falcons are finally ready to make that deep playoff push in 2012. Julio Jones is a year older and Roddy White is still a very good receiver. I also look for Harry Douglas to make a nice push this season coming off a 500 yd. outing in 2011. Michael Turner is starting to wind down a little, so you can expect the passing game to be a bigger focus this season. Tony Gonzalez will still see targets at TE and Jaquizz Rodgers is a Fantasy Sleeper I hope you got on your team. The defense is pretty solid and added Asante Samuel at CB this offseason. Samuel paired up with Grimes is a pretty formidable duo in the secondary.
2012 Projection- (10-6)

3. Carolina Panthers- Cam Newton returns for his sophomore campaign, and of course everyone has opinions on what will happen. I believe Newton is the real deal ,and I was not a fan coming into last season. I of course scored Newton in the 11th Round of our Fantasy Draft, which will help change opinions once his stats were tallied. He still has weapons in Steve Smith and Brandon Lafell. Newton will also have a crammed backfield, and a very talented TE in Greg Olsen. The defense will be much improved, and I love rookie LB Luke Kuechly to make a big splash in 2012.
2012 Projection- (7-9)
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Josh Freeman will attempt to bring back the magic he possessed two seasons ago for the Bucs. The Buccaneers brought in Vincent Jackson, and drafted some better blocking in the backfield with Doug Martin. Martin will be the change of pace scatback for Blount, in what will be a pretty good ground game. The defense will be a question mark against the type of offenses this team will encounter in 2012. I think this young team is growing, but not quite to that next level.
2012 Projection- (5-11)

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Tuesday, August 28, 2012

2012 NFC East Preview

The NFC East was the dominate division for many years in the NFL, but over the last few years has tapered off despite the Giants winning two Super Bowl titles. The Cowboys are arguably the best franchise in history, but I don't see a return to glory anytime soon. The excitement in this division will come from rookie Robert Griffin III and the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are usually a fun team to watch and played great at the end of last season. The Redskins need to find a consistent running game as you never know about Roy Helu. This division when all said and done should be decent, but nothing spectacular.

1. New York Giants- The defending champions lost Mario Manningham and Brandon Jacobs this offseason, but look for some new talent to emerge. I like rookie RB David Wilson who will share time with vet Ahmad Bradshaw in the backfield. The Giants still have the best Manning in football, and Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz to throw it to. I would have put the Eagles in this position if not for Michael Vick and his injury issues at QB. They have the top pass rush in the league, and are fairly solid on defense as a whole. The Giants will not repeat, but they are still pretty good.
2012 Projection- (10-6)

2. Philadelphia Eagles- The Eagles are an explosive team when they are healthy. LeSean McCoy is a beast in the backfield, both rushing and receiving. DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin are both solid wideouts if Michael Vick can stay healthy, and actually get them the ball. The defense is always hit or miss, but the Eagles have a pretty good pass rush. They also hold tons of talent in the secondary, especially at CB with Nnamdi Asomugha and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie.
2012 Projection- (9-7)

3. Dallas Cowboys- The Cowboys are a team with a lot of talent, but far too many injuries to compete a full season. Miles Austin has constant hamstring injuries, and Dez Bryant has the combination of injuries and locker room problems. Demarco Murray has been injury prone since college, Felix Jones same thing. Jason Witten is getting older, and Tony Romo has never won games when it matters. The offense is still good when they are on the field, but the defense should be the bright spot this season. The Cowboys brought in Brandon Carr and drafted Mo Claiborne to improve on a terrible secondary last season. Rob Ryan actually has something to work with now.
2012 Projection- (9-7)

4. Washington Redskins- The Redskins will be the focus of the division as everyone wants to see RG3. I believe Griffin will impress many in Washington and will have a great rookie season. RG3 has Pierre Garcon and Leonard Hankerson to look for at WR. Josh Morgan and veteran Santana Moss will also be targeted in the passing game. The RB situation is always up in the air with Mike Shanahan, and Roy Helu has not done much to help his cause staying injured. When Helu is healthy, he is the best on the team. The defense will struggle early, but will improve drastically over the second half of the season. The Skins remind me of the Seahawks from last season. They have a better QB of course!
2012 Projection- (6-10)

Saturday, August 25, 2012

2012 NFC North Preview

I feel like the NFC North will be the best division this season. You know the Packers will be awesome, the Lions are the best young team out there, and Jay Cutler has weapons in Chicago. The Vikings will depend on an Adrian Peterson that may be returning to fast from a brutal injury. This all being said you never know how it may end up, but I have a pretty good idea. This will be the most explosive division in football, and probably the highest scoring.

1. Green Bay Packers- The Packers come off a spectacular season that watched them fall in the playoffs. Aaron Rodgers will be on top of his game once again surrounded by the usual suspects. Jordy Nelson had a big year, but look for teams to shut him down a little more this season. Greg Jennings also returns at WR and old ass Donald Driver will still be catching a few passes as well. The Packers added Cedric Benson to work the backfield with James Starks. If Starks ever gets healthy it could be quite a duo. The defense will be great for fashion points with Fantasy Owners, but that does not win Championships.
2012 Projection- (12-4)

2. Detroit Lions- The Lions are possibly the most exciting young team in football. Matthew Stafford has became a top tier QB as long as he is healthy. He threw for over 5,000 yards last season and has the best receiver in football to throw it to. The running game will be a big question as Jahvid Best may never see the field with his concussion issues. It is likely that Kevin Smith will carry the load and he is also injury prone. The defense is solid and boast the top young defensive player in the league Ndamukong Suh.
2012 Projection (10-6)

3. Chicago Bears- The Bears had it rough with injuries last season as they lost both Jay Cutler and Matt Forte. Caleb Hanie was god awful and Bears fans gave up hope quick, but this is a whole new season. The Bears added Michael Bush to the backfield with Forte, and brought back a familiar target for Jay Cutler in Brandon Marshall. Cutler and Marshall connected for three 1,000 yard seasons in Denver. The Bears are hoping to see that kind of production from the duo again in 2012. The defense should be a lot better since they wont spend 50 minutes per game on the field. Mike Tice will make it fun to watch Bears Football this season.
2012 Projection (9-7)

4. Minnesota Vikings-The Vikings also have some exciting young talent, especially Percy Harvin who can take it all the way at anytime. The Vikings may look to use Harvin on more running plays this season as they had very nice success in 2011. Adrian Peterson is the biggest question mark as it was just December when he tore his ACL. He says he will be ready for Week 1, but we will see if that remains the case. Christian Ponder is another year older and should show some improvement at QB. Ponder has a lot to prove being taken so high by the Vikings in the 2011 Draft. The defense has the Sack leader in Jared Allen , but that's about it on defense. The defense will have to improve especially in the secondary. That's a tough chore when you face Rodgers, Stafford, and Cutler six games per season.
2012 Projection (6-10)




Wednesday, August 22, 2012

2012 NFC West Preview

Just two years ago the NFC West was the complete laughing stock of the NFL, but the division is quickly on it's way back to respectability. The 49ers started the process last season as new Head Coach Jim Harbaugh led the team to a 13-3 record. The Seahawks also began playing with fire, especially in the second half of the season. The Rams dealt with injury issues all season, and the Cardinals could never find a starting QB. The Rams unloaded in this springs draft bringing in tons of talent at skill positions. St.Louis added Isaiah Pead, Brian Quick, and speedster Chris Givens from Wake Forrest, which should give a tremendous boost to a terrible offense last season. The Cards are still torn on whether they should start Kolb or Skelton at QB. I believe the Cards should just give it to Kolb and let him develop over the year. The 49ers, Seahawks, and Rams should all enjoy very respectable seasons. The Arizona Cardinals probably not so much!

1. San Francisco 49ers- I believe the Niners have too much defense to be ousted from the top of this division. They are solid all around on defense, but the offense struggled at times last year. The Niners hope they stepped it up with the additions of Randy Moss and Mario Manningham through Free Agency. The Niners also added A.J. Jenkins from Illinois at WR, and former Heisman finalist LaMichael James from Oregon. The Niners are also very solid on Special Teams.
2012 Projection- (11-5)

2. St.Louis Rams- I believe the Rams will be the surprise story of the league this season. This team was destroyed by injuries last season especially on the offensive side of the ball. I think the organization has brought in substantial help both at WR, and in the backfield. I look for Lance Kendricks to really emerge as a top tier TE in 2012, and Danny Amendola returns at WR. Bradford will also be on the lookout for rookies Brian Quick and Chris Givens to make this a very exciting young offense. I look for Givens to add excitement to the return game as well.
2012 Projection- (9-7)

3. Seattle Seahawks- The Seahawks showed major improvement over the second half of the season in 2011. The defense finished looking like a top squad and Marshawn Lynch was completely reborn in the backfield. The issue to start this season is who starts at QB? The Seahawks brought in Matt Flynn and paid him nicely, but then drafted Russell Wilson. The Preseason so far has shown Wilson to have the edge, but its not over yet. The Seahawks also added a ton of team cancer in Terrell Owens and Braylon Edwards, but those pickups could pay off.
2012 Projection- (8-8)
4. Arizona Cardinals- The Cardinals are just shaky at QB and that always spells trouble. They have talent at WR with Larry Fitzgerald and rookie Michael Floyd, but someone has to get them the ball. Beanie Wells returns after a very stellar season and Ryan Williams should return as well in the backfield. The defense is also very mediocre with the exception of Patrick Peterson.
2012 Projection- (5-11)

 


Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Fantasy Football 2012- Deep Sleepers

Well Fantasy Football drafts are in full swing and I am here to give you my list of ultra value picks. These picks are also known as Deep Sleepers and you never know what may emerge. Last season during my Fantasy draft I was able to land Cam Newton in the 10th round, and Victor Cruz in the 14th. I made the Championship Game starting both of these guys on a week to week basis as the season progressed. This just proves that a ton of talent exists in the later rounds when everyone is saying it's scraps. I have compiled a list of my Top Ten Deep Sleepers for the 2012 Fantasy Football season as listed below. The picks are listed in the order I see them.

1. Shonn Greene- New York Jets- Greene has fell considerably in Fantasy drafts due to the lack of production last season, but people have to remember he spent the 2011 campaign sharing carries with L.T. This season he will be the main attraction, and he will see tons of action as the Jets lack in the passing game. Greene is dropping between the 8th and 10th rounds.

2. Reggie Wayne- Indianapolis Colts- Wayne is getting older which is shying people away with no Manning to throw the ball. The fact is Luck has already targeted Wayne a ton through 2 Preseason games and I don't expect that to change. Wayne is still a very good receiver to have, and he is falling between the 7th and 10th rounds.

3. Justin Blackmon- Jacksonville Jaguars- Blackmon is a rookie receiver so not even being taken in most Fantasy drafts. Blackmon is a specimen and the only true target Blaine Gabbert has on a very thin Jacksonville team. He has already shined through Preseason action, and I expect a solid season from Blackmon. You can get him easily between the 12th and final rounds of your draft.

4. Lance Moore- New Orleans Saints- Moore is a true sleeper playing on one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. You can look for Moore to see more targets with the departure of Robert Meacham to San Diego. Drew Brees loves to spread the ball around and Moore holds awesome value. Moore is going between rounds 7 and 10 in most drafts.

5. Sam Bradford- St. Louis Rams- Bradford is coming off a terrible season which saw his entire team riddled by injuries. They spent most of the season with no Jackson or WR'S to help him out. Bradford himself spent considerable time on the sidelines. The Rams beefed up skill positions and I expect a nice bounce back from Bradford. He is money at your 2 or 3 QB and is sticking around until rounds 10-13 in most drafts.

6. Carson Palmer- Oakland Raiders- Palmer has had a year to get chemistry going in Oakland and was on pace for 4400 yards last season. Those yards of course were if he had played the entire season. Heyward Bey has emerged as his top threat and I expect a very nice season from Palmer. He will be there between the 7th and 9th rounds.

7. Titus Young- Detroit Lions- Titus Young will benefit a ton from double coverage on Megatron. You can look for Young to become Stafford's #2 target and be right on pace for a nice 1000 yard season. He was still there in the 12th round of our draft.

8. Michael Floyd- Arizona Cardinals- Floyd is another rookie receiver who will benefit from double coverage on Larry Fitzgerald opening him up to have a very nice first season. The QB situation in Arizona is very shaky, but whoever takes snaps will still find Floyd in single coverage situations.

9. Jacquizz Rogers-Atlanta Falcons- Rogers has incredible speed, and in a newer look Atlanta offense you can expect to see him in many formations. Rogers will also spell an aging Michael Turner leading to more opportunities to make big plays. Rogers has been going in rounds 10-13 in most drafts.

10. Kyle Rudolph- Minnesota Vikings- Rudolph is the only TE on this list, and I expect big things from him. The Vikings have a young Christian Ponder and a questionable Adrian Peterson which I think will open things up for Rudolph. I expect him and Ponder to develop a nice relationship. He will be available towards the end of your draft.

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Friday, August 17, 2012

My NCAA Top 25 Preseason Poll

I have seen several preseason Top 25 polls, and I see inaccuracy in many of them. I think LSU is way overrated sitting so high in these polls. I do believe that USC is the top team in the country. I also think Alabama is the second best with Oklahoma right behind them. This is how my Top 3 shapes up, and here is the rest.





















Back Tomorrow With My Deep Sleepers in Fantasy Football! 


Thursday, August 16, 2012

NCAA Football-SEC East Preview For 2012

This is my second NCAA Football Preview of 2012, and today I am going to cover the SEC East. The East does not get near the press of the West due to the fact the West has three Top 5 teams. The East is starting to make a comeback however, and you can expect Georgia, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Florida to have very solid squads in 2012. The Bulldogs look to be the cream of the crop in the East with the Gamecocks right behind them. I think the East will be a very competitive division with a couple of possible surprises. The Gators look great on defense, but they have some issues at QB. The East also welcomes a new team in the Missouri Tigers fresh out of the Big 12. I expect the Tigers to see better results that A&M in the West, but they will still struggle. I will be back tomorrow with my NCAA Top 25 Poll Reveal. I have included the following team previews in my predicted order of finish.

1. Georgia Bulldogs - The Georgia Bulldogs return the #3 ranked defense a year ago minus only two starters. Jarvis Jones has emerged as one of the top linebackers in the country, and I expect him to terrorize offenses all season long. The offensive side of the ball is also pretty solid for the Dawgs. Quarterback Aaron Murray has improved more and more through experience, and he will see all of last years targets return at WR. I predict Georgia will only lose at South Carolina, but they will still finish ahead of the Gamecocks.
2012 Projection -(11-1)

 2. Florida Gators- Mentioned in the Intro, the Florida Gators come into 2012 with a tremendous defense. The Gators return ten starters on defense and have tons of speed. The questions come in at QB with Jacoby Brissett and Jeff Driskel fighting for the job. Traditionally teams having this issue struggle, and I see the Gators being no different. Driskel did recently suffer an injury so we shall see how it plays out. I expect to see the Gators go down against Georgia, Tennessee, and Florida State.
2012 Projection- (9-3)

3. South Carolina Gamecocks- The Gamecocks certainly have a new look for a Steve Spurrier coached team. The days of that old Florida offense are gone, and the Gamecocks play hard nosed football. Marcus Lattimore will return from a knee injury a season ago, and USC coaches say he is on track to return just fine. He will take handoffs from Connor Shaw who is also a serious ground threat. Shaw also throws the ball well, and you can look for Ace Sanders to emerge as his favorite target. Oh yea, and the defense is pretty damn good as well. I see the Cocks going limp against LSU, Florida, and at home against Arkansas.
2012 Projection- (9-3)

4. Tennessee Volunteers- The Vols return eight starters on defense, and nine on offense. The Vols of kinda lacking in pass rush, but the defensive backfield is pretty solid. The offense looks good returning QB Tyler Bray and a couple of really good wideouts in Da'Rick Rogers and Justin Hunter. Rogers has proven to be a bit of an issue off the field, but if all stays well in Tennessee the Vols could be a surprise. I see the Vols dropping four straight against Georgia, Mississippi State, Alabama, and South Carolina.
2012 Projection- (8-4)

5. Missouri Tigers- The Tigers have serious issues when it comes to proven skill position players. James Franklin is a very good young QB, but who will be there to help him out. They lost serious production at both WR and TE, plus uncertainty lingers in the backfield as well. The defense is decent but will struggle against SEC offenses. I see the Tigers losing to Georgia, South Carolina, Alabama, Florida, Tennessee, and  former Big 12 Opponent Texas A&M.
2012 Projection- (6-6)

6. Vanderbilt Commodores-  RB Zac Stacy is a stud, and they have Aaron Rodgers little brother throwing the ball. They don't have a lot going at skill positions so they will probably run a ton. You just can't be one dimensional in the SEC. With the exception of the secondary, the defense looks pretty weak. I see the Commodores losing against South Carolina, Georgia, Missouri, Florida, Auburn, Tennessee, Ole Miss, and Wake Forrest.
2012 Projection- (4-8)

7. Kentucky Wildcats- I am just going to keep this real short! Kentucky is lucky they have Basketball! The Wildcats may be heading in the right direction, but now is not the time. I expect losses to Louisville, Florida, South Carolina, Missouri, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Georgia, Tennessee, and Vanderbilt.
2012 Projection- (3-9)

Back Tomorrow With My NCAA Top 25 Preseason Poll





Monday, August 13, 2012

NCAA Football-SEC West Preview For 2012

This is the first NCAA Football preview of 2012, and today I will cover the SEC West. The West was a very competitive division last season as we saw three teams in the Top 5 simultaneously. This season won't be much different, but the dismissal of Tyrann Mathieu from LSU will make a big difference for the Tigers. The Honey Badgers departure will likely boost redshirt freshman Jalen Collins into a starting position. How bad will the Tigers suffer from the secondary losses. Arkansas also lost quite a bit of talent, especially at the Wide Receiver position, but they are still loaded with preseason award finalist. Then of course have Alabama, the defending National Champion. The Tide lost Trent Richardson, and seven starters on defense to the NFL. This means that these 3 teams will once again be in a fight for this very competitive SEC West. I will be back tomorrow with my preview of the SEC East. I have included the following team previews in my predicted order of finish.

1. Alabama Crimson Tide- I mentioned earlier that the Tide lost a ton of talent this offseason, especially on defense. The defensive unit will see several young players launched into starting roles, but as we know with Alabama Football, defense runs in its blood. The defense will still be solid! The Tide must also deal with the loss of Heisman Finalist Trent Richardson who is now playing for the Cleveland Browns. You can look for Eddie Lacy, and young T.J. Yeldon to occupy the backfield this season. The Tide also bring one of the best offensive lines in the country to the table. McCarron will need this line because he does not have have star receivers littering the field. The position is decent however, and I am sure that someone will emerge this season. I have the Tide finishing as the top team in the SEC West. They will go undefeated in conference play, but they will lose in Dallas against Michigan.
2012 Projection- (11-1)

2. Arkansas Razorbacks- Most people will wonder why LSU is not in this position, and I will tell you in just a minute, but for now the Arkansas Razorbacks. The Hogs return the best Quarterback in the SEC with Tyler Wilson, and possibly the best RB in Knile Davis. Davis will return after suffering a bad injury before last season and hoping to regain his elite status from 2 seasons ago. The receiving core is somewhat depleted, but still features Cobi Hamilton and TE Chris Gragg. The Arkansas defense was young last season and I expect a ton of improvement. The loss of Jake Bequette will hurt the pass rush, but I think they will have enough offense to overcome. I believe that Alabama will be the only loss.
2012 Projection- (11-1)

3. LSU Tigers- This was my number 2 team until the dismissal of Tyrann Mathieu last week. The Tigers will have to replace both Mathieu and Mo Claiborne who now plays for the Cowboys. I believe this will be just a big enough weak spot for the Tigers to drop 3 games this season. The Tigers still have the best front four in the country on defense, but that won't be enough to stop top passing attacks like Arkansas has. The Tigers will also be decent on Offense, but decent just does not cut it in the SEC. They have a soft out of conference schedule but they will suffer in SEC play. The Tigers will start off on fire before traveling to Gainesville, Florida. I expect losses to Florida, Alabama, and Arkansas.
2012 Projection- (9-3)

4. Auburn Tigers- The Tigers return a pretty nice defense, but some serious uncertainty on offense. The Tigers boast a god running game, but the uncertainty comes in the passing game. The Tigers main concern will be at QB as the Tigers still have not decided on a starter. South Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, LSU, and Georgia will topple Auburn in 2012.
2012 Projection (7-5)

5. Mississippi State Bulldogs- The Bulldogs have a very weak non-conference schedule which will account for 4 victories. They lost Ballard in the backfield now playing for the Colts in the NFL, and look for La Darius Perkins take over at that spot. They do boast a nice receiving core if a Quarterback can get them the ball. The defense is pretty decent but they need elevation on the defensive line. Special Teams will also be a big question mark. The Bulldogs will fall against Auburn, Alabama, Arkansas, LSU, and a road loss at Kentucky.
2012 Projection- (7-5)

6. Texas A&M Aggies- The Aggies will join a very tough SEC West which is a much stronger conference than the Big 12. The Aggies lose a big playmaker in Ryan Tannehill who now plays QB for the Miami Dolphins. The Aggies will also be making a transition in defensive schemes adjusting to a new 4-3 defense. Sophomore QB Jameill Showers will probably be the man in Aggieland, and he will be in for a tough year. I expect losses to Florida, Arkansas, LSU, Auburn, Alabama, and Mississippi State.
2012 Projection (6-6)

7. Ole Miss Rebels- The Rebels have a a new Coach, QB, and a lot of young talent, but they are only on the rise. This will be a tough year for new QB Bo Wallace and the rest of the Rebels. They lack depth at WR and in the backfield. The defense is also very questionable and will likely give up a ton of points. The Rebels will dwell at the bottom following losses to Texas, Alabama, Texas A&M, Auburn, Arkansas, Georgia, LSU, and rival Mississippi State.
2012 Projection (4-8)

Back Tomorrow With The SEC East!


Saturday, August 11, 2012

2012 Top Fantasy Football Picks & Sleepers DEF/PK

It's Friday, and I am back with my Top Fantasy Picks for 2012 on Defense and Special Teams. These are the picks that come late in the draft, but can make a huge impact for your team. I will also give you some sleeper picks, and some players or defenses you want to stay away from. I will be back tomorrow with my first look at NCAA Football and the SEC this season. I will talk about the impact of Tyrann Mathieu being dismissed from the LSU Football team this morning, and what it means for the rest of the SEC West. Make sure you check that out! " Here We Go"

Defense:

1. San Francisco 49ers- The 49ers come in boasting 2 of the top linebackers in the game today. Patrick Willis and Aldon Smith will continue to terrorize opposing offenses this season. This is the only defense worth jumping on in a middle round. They have a good kick return game as well which can pay off big.

2. Houston Texans- The Texans lost a couple players in the offseason, but don't expect this to make a significant difference. Wade Phillips has developed a ball hawking defense that finished 2nd in total defense during the 2011 season.

3. Seattle Seahawks- This Seattle defense does not get the praise deserved, but this defense finished in the Top 10 total defenses of 2011. I expect to see improvement in the pass rush making this defense one of the best for fantasy owners.

4. Pittsburgh Steelers- This defense does not get a lot of takeaways, but they make up for it by not giving up yardage. This is a defense that is getting older, and I expect a small decline this season.

5. Cincinnati Bengals- This defense was a sleeper that I drafted as my 2nd defense last season. I don't have to tell you that this pick paid off very nicely. The Bengals finished in the Top 10 in scoring defense, and racked up a very nice number of sacks.

Defense Sleepers:

1.Chicago Bears- They gave up big numbers last season, but they could never get off the field. You can look for serious improvement this season, and I don't even have to tell you about the kick return game.

2. Denver Broncos- The Broncos defense was the real reason for the run ending the 2011 season. Tim Tebow gets way to much credit considering it was this defense that kept him in striking distance. Dumervil and Miller are one of the top LB duos in the NFL and will anchor a solid squad in 2012.

3. Buffalo Bills- The Bills adding Mario Williams this offseason will help the pass rush a ton in 2012. They are very capable of making big plays on defense, and have a pretty solid return game.

Defense To Stay Away From:

1.San Diego Chargers- The Chargers defense is no longer the solid fantasy pick it was a few years back. They were near the bottom in sacks last season, and I expect much of the same.

2. Minnesota Vikings- Jared Allen make this defense tempting due to the large number of sacks, but you should look at the pass defense stats before you make this hasty decision. The Vikings were last in interceptions and gave up a ton of yards through the air.

3. Miami Dolphins- This is another team who used to be a fantasy must on defense. Those days are now gone as the Dolphins recovered a measly 3 fumbles last season. They just don't have playmakers!



Place Kickers:

1. Mason Crosby- Green Bay Packers- Crosby kicked 68 PAT's last season, and the Packers will score a lot of points again in 2012.

2. David Akers- San Francisco 49ers- Akers kicked 44 field goals last season coupled with 34 extra points. He is a fantasy stud at kicker.

3. Stephen Gostkowski- New England Patriots- He plays for the Patriots so he should come close to the 59 PAT's he kicked last season.

4. Dan Bailey- Dallas Cowboys- Bailey did a great job his first year in Dallas kicking 32 FG's and 39 PAT's. I expect Bailey to have an even bigger year in 2012.

5. Alex Henery- Philadelphia Eagles- Henry is a very good young kicker who had a great first season in Philly. I expect that just like Bailey, Alex Henry will have a very nice 2012.

Kicker Sleepers:

1. Nate Kaeding- San Diego Chargers- He suffered a major injury last season, but Kaeding should be ready to kick a ton of PAT's for the Chargers.

2. Mike Nugent- Cincinnati Bengals- It seems the Bengals have sleepers everywhere, and kicker is no different. He had 33 FG's and 33 PAT's last season.

3. Randy Bullock- Houston Texans- This young rookie kicker out of Texas A&M should get plenty of opportunities in Houston.

Kickers To Stay Away From:

1-3. This one I will make very easy! If they kick for the Jaguars, Colts, and Dolphins, reserve them as a last resort.




Thursday, August 9, 2012

2012 Top Fantasy Football Picks & Sleepers WR/TE

I am back today with my Top Picks & Sleepers for Fantasy Football 2012. I am going to be giving my picks today in the positions of WR/TE. I will list my Top 5 picks, 3 sleepers, and 3 players to stay away from. I will conclude my Fantasy Predictions tomorrow with DEF/PK so make sure you check it out. If you have not checked out my QB/RB picks, check it out in the archive. I will start my NCAA Season off on Saturday with my Top 25 Preseason Poll and an SEC preview.

Wide Receivers:

1. Calvin Johnson- Detroit Lions- This pick is a no brainer. Megatron will pick right up where he left off in 2011. You can expect to see Johnson get tons of double coverage, but it will not matter.

2. Larry Fitzgerald- Arizona Cardinals- The QB situation in Arizona can be scary, but Fitzgerald is a true Playmaker.  He finished the 2011 season with 80 Rec, 1411 Yards, 8 TD's, and managed to put up these numbers with no stud QB. Expect the same in 2012!

3. Wes Welker- NE Patriots- Welker plays in an offense with a lot of mouths to feed, but you can expect Welker to see the ball plenty from Tom Brady. Welker saw the ball thrown his way 172 times last year, but the Patriots added Brandon Lloyd in the Offseason. He will also have Gronkowski and Hernandez to compete with for targets. I expect a small drop in production, but he is still the best pick in this spot.

4. Brandon Marshall- Chicago Bears- Marshall is reunited with Jay Cutler who he played with in Denver, and posted 3 1,000 Yard Seasons. Cutler is healthy and will be looking in his direction often. Marshall will see significant double coverage giving Rookie Alshon Jeffery several targets as well, but in the end you will see a 100 rec season for Marshall.

5.Andre Johnson- Houston Texans- Johnson spent most of last year hampered by injuries and on the sideline. I expect to see Johnson have a bounce back season and solidify himself back at the top.

Wide Receiver Sleepers:  

1. Alshon Jeffery- Chicago Bears- You can expect Jeffery to get several targets due to double coverage on Brandon Marshall. Jeffery has great size and is quite a Matchup issue as well. He should go 6th or 7th rounds in most drafts.

2.Michael Floyd- Arizona Cardinals- We have a 2nd rookie in this category. Fitzgerald will get most of the coverage attention leaving Floyd ripe for a great rookie season. 

3. Eric Decker- Denver Broncos- The word is Decker and Manning have already developed some great chemistry, and I expect that to show in the Regular Season. Decker will make you a very solid #2 Wide Receiver.

Wide Receivers To Stay Away From: 

1. Mario Manningham-San Francisco 49ers- He finished the year big for the Giants last season, but don't always fall for the hype. The 49ers already have Moss, Crabtree, and Davis which makes Manningham the fourth option. He will not see enough targets to justify picking him before your fourth WR.

2. Vincent Jackson- Tampa Bay Bucs- Jackson was very inconsistent last season in San Diego, and that was Phillip Rivers throwing the ball. Josh Freeman is not Rivers!

3.Torrey Smith-Baltimore Ravens- Smith has a lot of stock going in to this season, but I expect to see Boldin get more targets. I expect to see Smith have right around the same stats as last season. Don't get me wrong, 850 yards and 7 TD'S isn't bad, but he is a 6th or 7th round pick at best.

 




Top 5 Tight Ends:

1. Jimmy Graham- New Orleans Saints- I expect to see Graham get more targets that Gronkowski in a crowded NE Receiving core. This is the only reason for the order of the top 2.

2. Rob Gronkowski- New England Patriots- Gronkowski will have a great season, but he will not match the monster year from 2011. He has so much competition with the addition of Lloyd, Gonzalez, and Fells. He will also have a healthy Aaron Hernandez to share targets with, and this makes Graham the Top Tight End.

3. Jason Witten- Dallas Cowboys-This high powered Cowboys offense will result in big numbers for Witten. He had over 900 yards in 2011, but only saw the Endzone 5 times. I suspect you will see a jump in TD's in 2012.

4. Aaron Hernandez- New England Patriots- Hernandez makes two Tight Ends in the Top 5 for New England. He is healthy, and has Tom Brady throwing the ball.

5. Antonio Gates- San Diego Chargers- If you have faith in Gates staying healthy, then he is the #3 at this position. I don't have that faith!

Tight End Sleepers:

1. Fred Davis-Washington Redskins- I expect Davis to be a top target for rookie QB RG3. They are not loaded at WR, and the running game is unpredictable.

2. Jacob Tamme- Denver Broncos- Tamme and Manning have a history, and it includes a pretty good season for Tamme in 2010. Tamme caught 67 passes for 631 yards in only 10 games.

3. Lance Kendricks- St. Louis Rams- Kendricks is a big athletic Tight End with a top of upside. You can expect him to see many targets in this new Jeff Fisher offense.

Tight Ends To Stay Away From:

1. Coby Fleener- Indianapolis Colts- Fleener is getting a lot of hype due to his connection with Andrew Luck. The two Stanford teammate's only connected 34 times in 2011, but he did see the Endzone 10 times. He is just a toss up in my book, and I don't think he is worthy of the risk.

2. Mercedes Lewis- Jacksonville Jaguars- Two words, Blaine Gabbert!

3.Dallas Clark-Tampa Bay Bucs- I think Clark has seen his best days, and now he has no Peyton Manning. He will struggle in this Bucs offense with Freeman running the show.

Back tomorrow with my Top DEF/PK Picks for 2012

Tuesday, August 7, 2012

2012 Top Fantasy Football Picks & Sleepers QB/RB

Its Finally Football Season and that means Fantasy Football!!! I have a new Blog in which I will bring the latest predictions and updates for Fantasy Football. I will also bring you my division and conference predictions in both NCAA & NFL Football. I will bring you one Free Handicapping Prediction per week as requested by everyone who followed my Blog last year. I also bring the lowest priced Prediction Package in Handicapping at $4.99 per package. This package buys you 3 picks per week all season long. That's a total of $9.98 for both Pro & College Football. That is 6 picks per week for under $10. That being said I am going to kick it off with my 2012 Fantasy Football Predictions at QB/RB. I will give my Top 5 Picks at each position, 3 sleepers, and 3 players to stay away from. "Here We Go"!

Quarterbacks:

1. Aaron Rodgers-GB- Plenty of mouths to feed and great mobility to make things happen. No Brainer!

2. Tom Brady-NE- Tons of targets with a healthy Hernandez and the edition of Brandon Lloyd.

3. Drew Brees- NO- It does not matter who is coaching Brees has tons of weapons!

4. Eli Manning- NYG- The top Manning in Football has proved his worth, and I think he will have a huge year.

5. Cam Newton-Carolina- He is guaranteed to get first crack inside the 10 which equals great rushing TD potential.

QB Sleepers:

1. Vince Young- Buffalo Bills- He does not start yet but Fitzpatrick has serious confidence issues. I believe Vince Young will be the starter by week 5 and never look back. You will be able to snag Young in final rounds or even Free Agency. He will make you a great 3rd option at QB.

2.Robert Griffith III- Washington Redskins- He is miles ahead of Cam Newton coming in as he has a great arm. He looks to pass first, but if he gets behind the Defense it's over. He will probably go in 3rd to 4th rounds in most drafts. I think his preseason rankings at #8 QB on most boards is a little high. He does not have a Steve Smith to throw the ball to like Newton did either.

3. Carson Palmer- Oakland Raiders- He has had a full year to work with the team and develop some chemistry. The new spread offense will give him lots of targets, and Heyward-Bey is quickly becoming the stud receiver they hoped for. McFadden healthy in the backfield makes the defense stay honest, but healthy is the key word. Palmer will hang around till 5th or 6th rounds in most drafts.

Quarterbacks To Stay Away From:

1. Ryan Fitzpatrick- Buffalo Bills- The reason I have Vince Young in my sleepers.

2. Michael Vick- Philadelphia Eagles- Injuries have riddled Michael Vick and makes him a huge risk if drafted as a #1. Pass on Vick and load up at WR, RB, and TE. Draft Boards should see Stafford, Ryan, P. Manning, and RG3 go before Vick.

3. Matt Shaub- He has serious injury issues and so does his weapons. You don't want to be stuck with Shaub as your #1 if a situation like last year takes place. If you get the chance to take him as a #2 or even #3 it will be worth your while.



Running Backs:

1. Arian Foster-Houston- He is still the man at this position. I would look for him to put up over a 1,000 yards on the ground, and 500 more through the air. He will probably throw in 15-20 Touchdowns for good measure.

2. LeSean McCoy- Philadelphia Eagles- McCoy will pick up where he left off and be an absolute stud for Fantasy Owners. I would expect around the same stat line as Foster above.

3.Ray Rice- Baltimore Ravens-Rice has stepped up and proved he belongs in this class. The added pass catching displayed last year makes him the easy #3 RB.

4.Maurice Jones Drew- Jacksonville Jaguars- MJD will remain the only bright spot on a terrible Jacksonville team. It seems every year I say he is going to slow way down, but it never happens. I guess I just have to accept the guy is pretty damn good.

5.Chris Johnson- Tennessee Titans- Forget about last season because CJ2K will redeem himself this season. He may not put up 2000 yards, but he will be huge in 2012. You may even be able to pull him out of the 4th or 5th round.

Running Back Sleepers:
          
1. Michael Bush- Chicago Bears- You can expect Michael Bush to see the ball a ton in Goal Line situations resulting in numerous trips to the Endzone. Matt Forte running in the backfield with him will set him up for success no doubt. This is a very solid #2 RB!

2.Donald Brown- Indianapolis Colts- With a Rookie QB like Andrew Luck running the show, and Joseph Addai out of the picture, you can look for Donald Brown to have a great year on a rebuilding Colts team. The Front Office has already made it clear he will get that shot.

3. Benjarvis Green Ellis- Cincinnati Bengals- The Law Firm didn't do much last year with the Patriots, but he will be the horse in Cincy. You can forget about Bernard Scott taking away carries, BGE will be a solid #2.

Running Backs To Stay Away From:

1.Jamal Charles-K.C Chiefs- Charles comes off a brutal injury, and forced to share carries with Peyton Hillis. Enough Said!

2. Adrian Peterson-Minnesota Vikings- Just like Jamal Charles he is coming off a brutal injury. He insists that he will be ready for the opener, but don't be ridiculous. Toby Gerhart will get the early season action and Peterson will be a huge question mark. Stay Away!

3. Fred Jackson- Buffalo Bills- Jackson is by no means a young man, and you can expect C.J Spiller to see the ball a lot more this season. I would actually hold off and take Spiller as your #3 RB. This will pay off big for Fantasy Owners.

Back tomorrow with my Top WR/TE Picks for 2012!